Monday, November 13, 2006

Why Tehran has good reason to thank the Bush-Blair confederacy....

In his first State of the Union Address in 2002, George W said "Iran aggressively pursues these weapons (weapons of mass destruction) and exports terror, while an unelected few repress the Iranian people's hope for freedom".
At the beginning of 2005, two years after invading Iraq, the question was very much “Is America about to go to war with Iran?” "Would there be another preventive war to effect the nuclear castration of Iran?" Asked whether he would back Israel if it raided Teheran's nuclear facilities, Bush said in Feb. 2005, “Clearly, if I was the leader of Israel and I'd listened to some of the statements by the Iranian ayatollahs that regarded the security of my country, I'd be concerned about Iran having a nuclear weapon as well..."

In March 2006, Bush told an audience in Washington that his administration had proof that Iran was producing lethal, improvised explosive devices, that had been found in Iraq. “Such actions, along with Iran's support for terrorism and its pursuit of nuclear weapons, are increasingly isolating Iran, and America will continue to rally the world to confront these threats." W said.
Following last Tuesday's midterm rout of the Republicans, things certainly look very different. Members of the Iraq Study Group, a bipartisan panel, will meet George W today along with the vice-president, Cheney, and the secretary of state, Rice. The panel is actively exploring the possibility of an overture to Iran on how to deal with the danger of Iraq descending into all-out civil war. Mr Blair said of Iran in October 2005: “Their attitude towards Israel, terrorism and nuclear weapons is not acceptable. If they continue down this path people are going to believe that they are a real threat to world security and stability. I feel a real sense of revulsion. It shows how much some of these places need to reform themselves. How can we build a more secure world with that type of attitude? It is a disgrace.” In his annual Guildhall Speech on foreign affairs tonight, Blair will also say that the problems in Iraq will not be solved without a broader Middle East strategy to secure peace between Israel and the Palestinians, requiring the engagement of both Syria and Iran.

Naturally. The overthrow of Saddam Hussein by the US has swept away Iran's local rival, and free elections in Iraq have brought the Shia majority to power. Iraq, weakened by the immense violence which has followed Saddam's overthrow, now regards Shia Iran as the dominant partner in the relationship. King Abdullah of Jordan has warned of a Shia crescent. In yet another way, George Bush/Tony's disastrous impact will live on well past their terms in office: the ultimate result of the Iraq debacle is an authoritarian Iraq leaning toward Axis of Evil member Iran.

2 comments:

Colin said...

George Bush/Tony's disastrous impact will live on well past their terms in office

That's correct. It always happens if rulers don't know history and the importance of the balance of power. Iraq was a counter-balance to the power of Iran. The destruction of the counter-balance naturally results in an increase of the power of Iran. Probably, it will now become the dominant power in the Middle East.

istanbultory said...

Yes, Iran will be the dominant regional power from now on. Even Washington and London have begun to face the new reality on the ground.